Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthias wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 50.6% vs Stamkos 46.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 69.1%
Defensive zone
Matthias 58.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.9%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Matthias
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Matthias
Stamkos
Last 8: Matthias 8-0 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
4
0
Matthias
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
0
Matthias
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
0
Matthias
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (341)
46.0% (767)
+5.0%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
50.0% (126)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
46.2% (26)
+3.8%
On even strength, Matthias has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Matthias is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Matthias shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Matthias
Stamkos
Home
50.6% (164)
49.7% (441)
Away
51.0% (206)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Matthias
Stamkos
P1
51.1%
43.7%
P2
54.5%
50.2%
P3
45.5%
45.1%
OT
62.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
50.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 27, 2010 | OT | 04:00 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |