Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 49.5% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Matthias leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 58.1%
Defensive zone
Matthias 65.9%
Neutral zone
Matthias 64.8%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Matthias
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Matthias
Stamkos
Last 10: Matthias 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthias
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Matthias
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
6
1
Matthias
Stamkos
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (510)
45.6% (1,055)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
46.6% (116)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
42.1% (38)
+4.4%
On power play, Matthias has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Matthias is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Matthias shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Matthias
Stamkos
Home
47.6% (315)
48.4% (636)
Away
51.4% (282)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Matthias
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
45.7%
P2
51.9%
46.8%
P3
45.8%
43.7%
OT
75.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |