Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stamkos wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 45.8% vs Plekanec 49.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 53.3%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 86.1%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 69.9%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Stamkos
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Stamkos
Plekanec
Last 10: Stamkos 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
1
Stamkos
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
2
Stamkos
Plekanec
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
7
5
Stamkos
Plekanec
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,055)
49.8% (1,095)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.6% (116)
49.4% (174)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
47.3% (364)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Stamkos shoots right. Plekanec is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Plekanec
Home
48.4% (636)
49.4% (789)
Away
42.3% (591)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Stamkos
Plekanec
P1
45.7%
51.9%
P2
46.8%
48.8%
P3
43.7%
47.8%
OT
48.0%
39.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2012 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 4, 2012 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2012 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2012 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 4, 2012 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 4, 2012 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 4, 2012 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |