Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.0% vs Zajac 54.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 51-42 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 68.6%
Defensive zone
Zajac 60.5%
Neutral zone
Zajac 50.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Stamkos
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
51
(93 meetings)
42
51
Stamkos
Zajac
Last 10: Stamkos 3-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
21
14
Stamkos
Zajac
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
8
22
Stamkos
Zajac
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
13
15
Stamkos
Zajac
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (9,799)
54.4% (9,056)
-4.0%
Power Play
55.1% (1,725)
59.1% (1,498)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (825)
48.6% (1,599)
+1.1%
On even strength, Zajac has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Stamkos shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Zajac
Home
52.7% (6,248)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
49.3% (6,127)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Stamkos
Zajac
P1
49.1%
53.8%
P2
52.7%
55.6%
P3
50.9%
53.6%
OT
54.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |