Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stamkos wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 45.8% vs Zajac 55.3% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 67.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 69.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 66.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Stamkos
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Stamkos
Zajac
Last 8: Stamkos 3-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Stamkos
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
0
Stamkos
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Stamkos
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,055)
57.8% (161)
-12.2%
Power Play
46.6% (116)
55.0% (20)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
52.9% (17)
-10.8%
On even strength, Zajac has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stamkos is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Stamkos shoots right. Zajac is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Zajac
Home
48.4% (636)
59.1% (127)
Away
42.3% (591)
55.8% (77)
By Period
Stamkos
Zajac
P1
45.7%
59.7%
P2
46.8%
56.7%
P3
43.7%
56.7%
OT
48.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |