Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stamkos wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.3% vs Zajac 54.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 67.1%
Defensive zone
Zajac 74.5%
Neutral zone
Zajac 85.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Stamkos
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stamkos
Zajac
Last 6: Stamkos 4-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
1
Stamkos
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
1
Stamkos
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (433)
55.7% (1,020)
-6.7%
Power Play
54.3% (70)
52.7% (201)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
50.3% (173)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stamkos is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Stamkos shoots right. Zajac is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Zajac
Home
51.1% (327)
54.9% (685)
Away
46.0% (202)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Stamkos
Zajac
P1
46.6%
54.6%
P2
51.5%
55.5%
P3
48.6%
54.2%
OT
61.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |