Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stamkos wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.8% vs Zajac 53.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 86.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 66.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 66.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Stamkos
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stamkos
Zajac
Last 10: Stamkos 2-8 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Stamkos
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
4
Stamkos
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
3
Stamkos
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (831)
53.6% (932)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.5% (86)
55.0% (129)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
69.2% (26)
50.4% (139)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stamkos is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Stamkos shoots right. Zajac is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Zajac
Home
52.5% (474)
55.8% (661)
Away
46.9% (469)
50.5% (539)
By Period
Stamkos
Zajac
P1
46.3%
55.7%
P2
52.0%
50.0%
P3
51.2%
54.1%
OT
43.8%
63.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |