Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.0% vs Leino 46.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 59.8%
Defensive zone
Leino 54.2%
Neutral zone
Leino 57.7%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Stamkos
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stamkos
Leino
Last 9: Stamkos 4-5 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
1
Stamkos
Leino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leino
1
2
Stamkos
Leino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
1
2
Stamkos
Leino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (9,799)
46.1% (596)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.1% (1,725)
42.1% (57)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (825)
33.3% (6)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Stamkos shoots right. Leino is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Leino
Home
52.7% (6,248)
46.1% (334)
Away
49.3% (6,127)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Stamkos
Leino
P1
49.1%
45.9%
P2
52.7%
44.8%
P3
50.9%
45.6%
OT
54.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ville Leino |