Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 45.8% vs Leino 43.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 57.3%
Defensive zone
Leino 63.3%
Neutral zone
Leino 57.4%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Stamkos
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stamkos
Leino
Last 6: Stamkos 2-4 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
0
Stamkos
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leino
0
2
Stamkos
Leino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
0
2
Stamkos
Leino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,055)
42.6% (209)
+3.0%
Power Play
46.6% (116)
25.0% (12)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
40.0% (5)
+2.1%
On power play, Stamkos has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Stamkos shoots right. Leino is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Leino
Home
48.4% (636)
41.2% (102)
Away
42.3% (591)
41.4% (128)
By Period
Stamkos
Leino
P1
45.7%
38.8%
P2
46.8%
42.7%
P3
43.7%
42.3%
OT
48.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ville Leino |