Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.5% vs Oshie 50.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 79.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 73.5%
Neutral zone
Oshie 54.9%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Kerfoot
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kerfoot
Oshie
Last 5: Kerfoot 3-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
1
Kerfoot
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Kerfoot
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (372)
51.7% (58)
-4.4%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
49.1% (169)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
54.5% (11)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Kerfoot shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Oshie
Home
53.2% (216)
51.3% (113)
Away
39.8% (191)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Kerfoot
Oshie
P1
43.2%
53.8%
P2
46.6%
47.5%
P3
51.0%
51.2%
OT
20.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.9%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |