Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 53.8% vs Oshie 50.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 78.9%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 93.3%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 71.2%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Gauthier
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gauthier
Oshie
Last 7: Gauthier 5-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Gauthier
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
5
0
Gauthier
Oshie
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Gauthier
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (263)
51.7% (58)
+6.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
49.1% (169)
+50.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (116)
54.5% (11)
-7.9%
On power play, Gauthier has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Gauthier is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Gauthier shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Oshie
Home
60.0% (180)
51.3% (113)
Away
50.0% (200)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Gauthier
Oshie
P1
52.2%
53.8%
P2
57.5%
47.5%
P3
53.0%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
54.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | OT | 00:56 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |