Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Oshie 51.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 66.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 93.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Toews
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toews
Oshie
Last 5: Toews 4-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
51.4% (35)
+6.8%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
53.5% (170)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
50.9% (57)
+2.8%
On power play, Toews has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Toews shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Toews
Oshie
Home
59.8% (805)
59.4% (138)
Away
57.3% (768)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Toews
Oshie
P1
60.2%
53.4%
P2
60.7%
48.9%
P3
55.9%
55.1%
OT
44.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |