Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 51.9% vs Plekanec 49.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 70.8%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 67.5%
Neutral zone
Oshie 57.2%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Oshie
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Oshie
Plekanec
Last 6: Oshie 4-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
2
0
Oshie
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Oshie
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
0
Oshie
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (35)
49.8% (1,199)
+1.6%
Power Play
53.5% (170)
51.7% (240)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
47.2% (176)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Oshie shoots right. Plekanec is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Oshie
Plekanec
Home
59.4% (138)
48.9% (807)
Away
45.2% (124)
50.6% (808)
By Period
Oshie
Plekanec
P1
53.4%
52.2%
P2
48.9%
49.4%
P3
55.1%
47.4%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |