Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Oshie wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 48.5% vs Zajac 51.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 50.6%
Defensive zone
Zajac 94.4%
Neutral zone
Zajac 81.5%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Oshie
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Oshie
Zajac
Last 10: Oshie 8-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
5
0
Oshie
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Oshie
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
4
1
Oshie
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (127)
53.5% (480)
-10.2%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
48.4% (62)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
37.7% (61)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Oshie is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Oshie shoots right. Zajac is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Oshie
Zajac
Home
42.1% (164)
51.7% (352)
Away
55.6% (126)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Oshie
Zajac
P1
44.7%
45.0%
P2
47.8%
61.5%
P3
52.1%
46.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |