Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Thompson 44.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 61.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Newhook
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Newhook
Thompson
Last 5: Newhook 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Newhook
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Newhook
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Newhook
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
44.6% (709)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
41.5% (53)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
35.1% (97)
-35.1%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Newhook
Thompson
Home
45.1% (246)
45.5% (426)
Away
48.0% (246)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Newhook
Thompson
P1
44.7%
48.5%
P2
49.7%
43.8%
P3
43.9%
38.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |