Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.2% vs Thompson 45.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 81.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 82.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 74.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Jankowski
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jankowski
Thompson
Last 7: Jankowski 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (515)
44.7% (631)
+9.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
47.9% (94)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
33.3% (33)
+24.6%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Jankowski is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Jankowski shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Thompson
Home
53.9% (310)
46.0% (391)
Away
53.7% (255)
43.1% (367)
By Period
Jankowski
Thompson
P1
54.4%
47.7%
P2
55.7%
44.9%
P3
51.5%
41.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Thompson
30.0%▼
39.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |