Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.6% vs 42.8%). Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suter wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 43.3% vs Thompson 43.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 58.0%
Defensive zone
Suter 65.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Suter
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Suter
Thompson
Last 6: Suter 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
2
1
Suter
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (740)
41.9% (597)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.0% (75)
50.5% (95)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (59)
25.0% (12)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Suter is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Suter shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Suter
Thompson
Home
41.8% (407)
47.1% (367)
Away
43.3% (467)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Suter
Thompson
P1
44.7%
44.2%
P2
41.5%
41.6%
P3
41.9%
42.9%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |