Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fritz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fritz wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fritz 45.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fritz 51.6%
Defensive zone
Fritz 54.3%
Neutral zone
Fritz 51.9%
Result
Tanner Fritz favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Fritz
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Fritz
Bozak
Last 7: Fritz 3-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fritz
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Fritz
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fritz
2
1
Fritz
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fritz
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (143)
53.7% (9,596)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.0% (1,094)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Fritz is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Fritz shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Fritz
Bozak
Home
48.5% (68)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
38.3% (81)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Fritz
Bozak
P1
43.2%
53.2%
P2
49.0%
52.8%
P3
36.4%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fritz
42.0%▬
43.0%
43.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:59 | Neutral | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |