Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fritz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fritz wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fritz 46.6% vs Bozak 53.3% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 55.4%
Defensive zone
Fritz 60.6%
Neutral zone
Fritz 52.4%
Result
Tanner Fritz favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Fritz
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Fritz
Bozak
Last 7: Fritz 3-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fritz
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Fritz
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fritz
2
1
Fritz
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fritz
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (102)
53.6% (977)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
100.0% (6)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Fritz is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Fritz shoots right. Bozak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Fritz
Bozak
Home
46.8% (47)
55.4% (583)
Away
41.0% (61)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Fritz
Bozak
P1
41.9%
51.9%
P2
54.5%
51.1%
P3
34.9%
57.9%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fritz
42.0%▬
43.0%
43.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:59 | Neutral | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |