Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 44.4%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 45.6% vs Kero 45.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 72.5%
Defensive zone
Kero 72.7%
Neutral zone
Kero 55.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Point
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Point
Kero
Last 8: Point 5-3 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Kero
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Kero
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Point
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (462)
45.9% (434)
-1.1%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
50.0% (2)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
25.7% (35)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Point is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Point shoots right. Kero is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Point
Kero
Home
46.3% (315)
47.7% (214)
Away
42.4% (217)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Point
Kero
P1
36.9%
44.4%
P2
48.7%
48.5%
P3
47.4%
39.4%
Final 5 min
45.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |