Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Thompson wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.2% vs Kero 45.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 56.5%
Defensive zone
Kero 59.5%
Neutral zone
Kero 55.3%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Thompson
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Thompson
Kero
Last 7: Thompson 3-4 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
2
Thompson
Kero
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
0
2
Thompson
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (199)
45.9% (434)
+10.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
50.0% (2)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
25.7% (35)
+9.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Thompson is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Thompson shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Thompson
Kero
Home
59.5% (116)
47.7% (214)
Away
47.3% (129)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Thompson
Kero
P1
47.4%
44.4%
P2
56.2%
48.5%
P3
55.1%
39.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |