Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 50.9% vs Blueger 47.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 52.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 55.4%
Neutral zone
Dowling 50.6%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Dowling
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dowling
Blueger
Last 5: Dowling 2-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Dowling
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Dowling
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (53)
44.9% (78)
+7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Dowling has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Dowling is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Dowling shoots left. Blueger is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Dowling
Blueger
Home
56.0% (25)
41.2% (34)
Away
50.0% (34)
46.6% (58)
By Period
Dowling
Blueger
P1
60.0%
32.0%
P2
53.8%
42.4%
P3
44.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
60.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |