Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Blueger 45.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 93.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 83.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Thompson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thompson
Blueger
Last 6: Thompson 5-1 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
48.1% (653)
+7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
29.6% (27)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
38.1% (210)
+13.1%
On power play, Thompson has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Thompson shoots left. Blueger is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Thompson
Blueger
Home
57.0% (421)
45.5% (473)
Away
52.7% (366)
44.8% (417)
By Period
Thompson
Blueger
P1
57.9%
48.0%
P2
52.3%
44.9%
P3
55.2%
43.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2020 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |