Scouting Report
Stefan Noesen holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Noesen wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Vanek shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Noesen 44.6% vs Vanek 41.7% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Vanek 51.8%
Defensive zone
Noesen 56.9%
Neutral zone
Noesen 52.2%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Noesen
Vanek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Noesen
Vanek
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (407)
37.7% (146)
+4.6%
Power Play
46.5% (114)
36.1% (61)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
60.0% (5)
-2.9%
On power play, Noesen has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vanek shoots right. Noesen is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Noesen shoots right. Vanek is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Noesen
Vanek
Home
43.8% (267)
39.6% (111)
Away
43.3% (268)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Noesen
Vanek
P1
38.2%
32.1%
P2
45.3%
40.9%
P3
46.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%
Vanek
28.0%▼
38.5%
37.7%