Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brent on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.2% vs Brent 48.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brent 62.7%
Defensive zone
Brent 66.1%
Neutral zone
Brent 60.6%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Mitchell
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mitchell
Brent
Last 5: Mitchell 1-4 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
1
Mitchell
Brent
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
1
Mitchell
Brent
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brent
1
2
Mitchell
Brent
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (175)
47.8% (471)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
54.7% (53)
-0.5%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Mitchell is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Mitchell shoots left. Brent is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Brent
Home
55.0% (109)
50.2% (279)
Away
47.8% (90)
47.3% (292)
By Period
Mitchell
Brent
P1
56.1%
53.9%
P2
50.6%
47.9%
P3
48.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.8%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Tim Brent |