Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.0%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Brent 51.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 65.3%
Defensive zone
Brent 72.3%
Neutral zone
Brent 51.3%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Koivu
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Koivu
Brent
Last 5: Koivu 4-1 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Brent
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Brent
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (842)
52.8% (563)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.2% (248)
54.5% (22)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (178)
51.0% (198)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Koivu is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Koivu shoots left. Brent is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Koivu
Brent
Home
54.1% (621)
50.5% (384)
Away
51.6% (672)
53.5% (404)
By Period
Koivu
Brent
P1
52.0%
54.9%
P2
55.5%
52.5%
P3
51.2%
48.7%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |