Scouting Report
Tim Brent holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bonino wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 44.2% vs Brent 48.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brent 76.0%
Defensive zone
Brent 74.5%
Neutral zone
Brent 73.9%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Bonino
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bonino
Brent
Last 6: Bonino 4-2 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Brent
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Brent
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (423)
47.8% (471)
-4.5%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
54.7% (53)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.9% (45)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Brent has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Bonino is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Brent is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Bonino
Brent
Home
44.1% (222)
50.2% (279)
Away
41.8% (232)
47.3% (292)
By Period
Bonino
Brent
P1
43.9%
53.9%
P2
43.4%
47.9%
P3
41.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
44.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |