Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Anisimov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Anisimov wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 47.4% vs Connolly 48.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 53.6%
Defensive zone
Connolly 61.3%
Neutral zone
Anisimov 63.6%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Anisimov
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Anisimov
Connolly
Last 6: Anisimov 3-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
1
Anisimov
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
2
1
Anisimov
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Anisimov
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (268)
47.8% (605)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
51.2% (86)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
55.1% (89)
-7.4%
On power play, Anisimov has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Anisimov is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Anisimov shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Connolly
Home
50.8% (124)
51.1% (358)
Away
44.3% (221)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Anisimov
Connolly
P1
47.2%
48.7%
P2
45.9%
48.1%
P3
48.6%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
46.7%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |