Scouting Report
Daniel Brière holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Brière wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Connolly 46.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Brière leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brière 70.4%
Defensive zone
Brière 70.2%
Neutral zone
Brière 71.2%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Brière
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Brière
Connolly
Last 10: Brière 8-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
3
1
Brière
Connolly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brière
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
5
1
Brière
Connolly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
47.0% (702)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
49.7% (165)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
29.9% (97)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Brière is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Brière shoots right. Connolly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Brière
Connolly
Home
49.2% (427)
46.7% (512)
Away
47.1% (393)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Brière
Connolly
P1
48.2%
46.5%
P2
49.5%
47.5%
P3
46.7%
44.0%
OT
42.9%
40.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |