Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 45.9%). Look for Schremp on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schremp wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schremp 46.8% vs Connolly 46.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 61.4%
Defensive zone
Schremp 55.6%
Neutral zone
Schremp 53.2%
Result
Rob Schremp favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Schremp
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schremp
Connolly
Last 7: Schremp 5-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
1
Schremp
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schremp
3
1
Schremp
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schremp
2
0
Schremp
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schremp
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (410)
47.0% (702)
-0.2%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
49.7% (165)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
29.9% (97)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Schremp is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Schremp shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Schremp
Connolly
Home
48.3% (238)
46.7% (512)
Away
44.0% (248)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Schremp
Connolly
P1
54.1%
46.5%
P2
44.1%
47.5%
P3
41.5%
44.0%
OT
25.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schremp
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Rob Schremp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Rob Schremp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Rob Schremp |