Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pelley 52.1% vs Connolly 46.3% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 62.3%
Defensive zone
Pelley 77.5%
Neutral zone
Pelley 64.9%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Pelley
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pelley
Connolly
Last 5: Pelley 3-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
1
Pelley
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
3
1
Pelley
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pelley
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (208)
47.0% (702)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
49.7% (165)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (103)
29.9% (97)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Pelley has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Pelley is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Pelley shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Pelley
Connolly
Home
55.1% (127)
46.7% (512)
Away
51.3% (193)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Pelley
Connolly
P1
56.0%
46.5%
P2
49.6%
47.5%
P3
53.0%
44.0%
OT
100.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |