Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pahlsson wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 51.9% vs Connolly 46.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pahlsson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 95.7%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 83.3%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Pahlsson
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Pahlsson
Connolly
Last 8: Pahlsson 8-0 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
3
0
Pahlsson
Connolly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
2
0
Pahlsson
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
3
0
Pahlsson
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (934)
47.0% (702)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
49.7% (165)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (332)
29.9% (97)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Pahlsson shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Connolly
Home
56.5% (628)
46.7% (512)
Away
47.8% (670)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Pahlsson
Connolly
P1
55.9%
46.5%
P2
49.4%
47.5%
P3
50.8%
44.0%
OT
37.5%
40.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |