Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weiss 53.0% vs Connolly 48.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 60.2%
Defensive zone
Connolly 62.5%
Neutral zone
Connolly 62.2%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Weiss
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Weiss
Connolly
Last 6: Weiss 2-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
2
Weiss
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
0
Weiss
Connolly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
2
Weiss
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weiss
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (1,038)
47.8% (605)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.6% (268)
51.2% (86)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
55.1% (89)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Weiss is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Weiss shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Weiss
Connolly
Home
55.2% (764)
51.1% (358)
Away
50.9% (705)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Weiss
Connolly
P1
55.7%
48.7%
P2
52.3%
48.1%
P3
53.0%
50.4%
OT
35.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.2%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |