Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 47.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 19-6 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 82.4%
Defensive zone
Connolly 88.0%
Neutral zone
Connolly 84.8%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Connolly
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
19
(25 meetings)
6
19
Connolly
Bozak
Last 10: Connolly 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
8
Connolly
Bozak
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
7
Connolly
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Connolly
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,307)
53.7% (9,596)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.2% (251)
55.2% (1,990)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (186)
48.0% (1,094)
-6.1%
On even strength, Bozak has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Connolly shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Connolly
Bozak
Home
48.5% (870)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
45.9% (885)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Connolly
Bozak
P1
47.4%
53.2%
P2
47.7%
52.8%
P3
47.0%
54.5%
OT
37.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |