Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 47.3% vs Ennis 41.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 68.5%
Defensive zone
Connolly 79.5%
Neutral zone
Connolly 69.7%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Connolly
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Connolly
Ennis
Last 7: Connolly 5-2 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
3
0
Connolly
Ennis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Connolly
Ennis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,307)
40.7% (1,404)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.2% (251)
45.5% (167)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (186)
38.1% (21)
+3.8%
On even strength, Connolly has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Connolly shoots right. Ennis is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Connolly
Ennis
Home
48.5% (870)
43.6% (834)
Away
45.9% (885)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Connolly
Ennis
P1
47.4%
39.4%
P2
47.7%
43.1%
P3
47.0%
41.7%
OT
37.8%
31.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |