Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 47.3% vs Konopka 58.6% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Konopka leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 77.6%
Defensive zone
Konopka 59.4%
Neutral zone
Konopka 50.9%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Connolly
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Connolly
Konopka
Last 10: Connolly 4-6 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
6
1
Connolly
Konopka
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Konopka
2
7
Connolly
Konopka
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Konopka
1
2
Connolly
Konopka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,307)
60.6% (1,691)
-13.2%
Power Play
50.2% (251)
61.3% (80)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (186)
53.3% (523)
-11.4%
On even strength, Konopka has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Connolly shoots right. Konopka is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Connolly
Konopka
Home
48.5% (870)
60.9% (1,059)
Away
45.9% (885)
57.4% (1,244)
By Period
Connolly
Konopka
P1
47.4%
58.7%
P2
47.7%
59.1%
P3
47.0%
59.7%
OT
37.8%
37.5%
Final 5 min
42.3%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |