Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kennedy 44.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 79.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 72.8%
Neutral zone
Bozak 61.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Kennedy
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kennedy
Bozak
Last 7: Kennedy 4-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kennedy
1
0
Kennedy
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kennedy
1
0
Kennedy
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Kennedy
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kennedy
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (218)
53.7% (9,596)
-12.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
55.2% (1,990)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
48.0% (1,094)
+52.0%
On penalty kill, Kennedy has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kennedy is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Kennedy shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Kennedy
Bozak
Home
41.8% (91)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
42.4% (139)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Kennedy
Bozak
P1
40.0%
53.2%
P2
44.0%
52.8%
P3
42.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kennedy
36.0%▼
42.5%
42.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Tim Kennedy |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Tim Kennedy |