Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schaller wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schaller 43.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.7%
Defensive zone
Schaller 71.7%
Neutral zone
Schaller 63.4%
Result
Tim Schaller favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Schaller
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Schaller
Bozak
Last 8: Schaller 3-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Schaller
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
3
0
Schaller
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Schaller
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schaller
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (419)
53.7% (9,596)
-11.5%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
55.2% (1,990)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (111)
48.0% (1,094)
-11.1%
On even strength, Bozak has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Schaller is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Schaller shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Schaller
Bozak
Home
42.5% (240)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
41.1% (302)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Schaller
Bozak
P1
42.6%
53.2%
P2
42.0%
52.8%
P3
39.9%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
40.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |