Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schaller wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schaller 47.4% vs Bozak 53.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 72.1%
Defensive zone
Schaller 75.0%
Neutral zone
Schaller 53.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Schaller
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Schaller
Bozak
Last 5: Schaller 2-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Schaller
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
2
0
Schaller
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schaller
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (95)
53.6% (977)
-7.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
52.2% (186)
+47.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (70)
100.0% (6)
-55.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Schaller is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Schaller shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Schaller
Bozak
Home
44.9% (98)
55.4% (583)
Away
47.1% (68)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Schaller
Bozak
P1
55.6%
51.9%
P2
36.8%
51.1%
P3
42.2%
57.9%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |