Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Stützle 52.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 81.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.7%
Neutral zone
Stützle 58.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Stenlund
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stenlund
Stützle
Last 5: Stenlund 1-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Stenlund
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Stenlund
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
53.0% (485)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
55.2% (58)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
56.7% (30)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Stützle
Home
57.0% (458)
52.5% (282)
Away
52.6% (511)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Stenlund
Stützle
P1
55.1%
52.1%
P2
53.3%
56.2%
P3
56.4%
52.0%
OT
42.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |