Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Stapleton 46.5% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 69.3%
Defensive zone
Vitale 94.8%
Neutral zone
Vitale 81.7%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Vitale
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Vitale
Stapleton
Last 6: Vitale 5-1 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Stapleton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Stapleton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Stapleton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
44.0% (207)
+11.9%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
33.3% (3)
+14.2%
On power play, Vitale has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Vitale is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Vitale shoots right. Stapleton is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Vitale
Stapleton
Home
56.9% (383)
44.9% (107)
Away
54.4% (340)
45.0% (109)
By Period
Vitale
Stapleton
P1
51.5%
59.4%
P2
58.2%
39.0%
P3
56.8%
38.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |