Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stapleton on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.0% vs Stapleton 46.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 73.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.6%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 57.9%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Eller
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Eller
Stapleton
Last 8: Eller 1-7 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
2
Eller
Stapleton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
1
Eller
Stapleton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
4
Eller
Stapleton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (588)
44.0% (207)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
66.7% (3)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (63)
33.3% (3)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Eller is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Eller shoots left. Stapleton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Eller
Stapleton
Home
48.3% (329)
44.9% (107)
Away
44.9% (356)
45.0% (109)
By Period
Eller
Stapleton
P1
50.0%
59.4%
P2
41.3%
39.0%
P3
47.4%
38.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2012 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |