Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 44.9%). Santorelli wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 46.2% vs Stapleton 46.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 52.8%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 50.7%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 51.4%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Santorelli
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Santorelli
Stapleton
Last 5: Santorelli 3-2 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Santorelli
Stapleton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
1
Santorelli
Stapleton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
0
Santorelli
Stapleton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (348)
44.0% (207)
+1.1%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
66.7% (3)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Stapleton has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Santorelli is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Santorelli shoots right. Stapleton is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Stapleton
Home
49.5% (188)
44.9% (107)
Away
41.3% (201)
45.0% (109)
By Period
Santorelli
Stapleton
P1
48.8%
59.4%
P2
40.7%
39.0%
P3
47.0%
38.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |