Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stapleton wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stapleton 47.3% vs Zajac 54.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 80.8%
Defensive zone
Zajac 50.8%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 69.7%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Stapleton
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stapleton
Zajac
Last 9: Stapleton 3-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
0
Stapleton
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Stapleton
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
4
Stapleton
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stapleton
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (421)
54.4% (9,056)
-8.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
59.1% (1,498)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.6% (1,599)
+1.4%
On power play, Stapleton has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stapleton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Stapleton shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Stapleton
Zajac
Home
47.3% (222)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
46.1% (219)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Stapleton
Zajac
P1
56.5%
53.8%
P2
42.4%
55.6%
P3
42.3%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |