Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stapleton wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stapleton 47.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 66.5%
Defensive zone
Stapleton 56.2%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 64.0%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Stapleton
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stapleton
Bozak
Last 6: Stapleton 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
0
Stapleton
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Stapleton
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Stapleton
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stapleton
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (421)
53.7% (9,596)
-8.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
55.2% (1,990)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.0%
On power play, Stapleton has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stapleton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Stapleton shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Stapleton
Bozak
Home
47.3% (222)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
46.1% (219)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Stapleton
Bozak
P1
56.5%
53.2%
P2
42.4%
52.8%
P3
42.3%
54.5%
OT
33.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |