Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.5% vs Galiardi 46.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galiardi 66.6%
Defensive zone
Dowell 51.5%
Neutral zone
Dowell 57.8%
Result
TJ Galiardi favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Dowell
Galiardi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dowell
Galiardi
Last 6: Dowell 3-3 Galiardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galiardi
0
2
Dowell
Galiardi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
0
Dowell
Galiardi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
2
1
Dowell
Galiardi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Galiardi
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (180)
41.3% (126)
+4.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (20)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
61.9% (21)
+0.6%
On power play, Dowell has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Galiardi shoots left. Dowell is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Dowell shoots left. Galiardi is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Dowell
Galiardi
Home
49.5% (107)
46.5% (86)
Away
45.6% (90)
43.2% (81)
By Period
Dowell
Galiardi
P1
52.3%
35.2%
P2
44.3%
49.1%
P3
46.8%
50.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.7%
Galiardi
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | TJ Galiardi |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | TJ Galiardi |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | TJ Galiardi |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |