Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Galiardi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Galiardi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Galiardi 47.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galiardi 56.4%
Defensive zone
Galiardi 55.6%
Neutral zone
Galiardi 57.2%
Result
TJ Galiardi favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Spezza
Galiardi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spezza
Galiardi
Last 6: Spezza 2-4 Galiardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Galiardi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galiardi
0
2
Spezza
Galiardi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galiardi
1
2
Spezza
Galiardi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Galiardi
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
46.9% (98)
+9.2%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
40.0% (5)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
46.7% (30)
+9.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Galiardi shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Spezza shoots right. Galiardi is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Spezza
Galiardi
Home
56.6% (532)
48.2% (112)
Away
56.0% (678)
36.4% (22)
By Period
Spezza
Galiardi
P1
58.8%
48.1%
P2
59.6%
45.3%
P3
50.4%
45.3%
OT
57.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Galiardi
36.0%▼
38.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | TJ Galiardi |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | TJ Galiardi |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | TJ Galiardi |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | TJ Galiardi |