Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +34.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rieder shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Rieder 39.9% (+34.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 84.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 97.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 93.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Thompson
Rieder
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thompson
Rieder
Last 6: Thompson 5-1 Rieder
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Rieder
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Rieder
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Rieder
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Rieder
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
17.0% (47)
+38.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
40.0% (5)
+11.2%
On power play, Rieder has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rieder shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Thompson shoots left. Rieder is 23.9% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Thompson
Rieder
Home
57.0% (421)
26.3% (38)
Away
52.7% (366)
6.7% (15)
By Period
Thompson
Rieder
P1
57.9%
22.2%
P2
52.3%
29.4%
P3
55.2%
11.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
22.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Rieder
20.0%▼
30.2%
20.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Tobias Rieder |