Scouting Report
Todd Marchant holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Backes wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs Marchant 48.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Backes
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Backes
Marchant
Last 9: Backes 7-2 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
0
Backes
Marchant
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
1
Backes
Marchant
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Marchant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
50.5% (368)
-5.2%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
28.6% (7)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
42.4% (158)
-1.9%
On power play, Backes has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Backes shoots right. Marchant is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Backes
Marchant
Home
42.9% (581)
50.3% (302)
Away
46.1% (557)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Backes
Marchant
P1
40.1%
46.3%
P2
47.3%
49.7%
P3
45.1%
48.1%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | David Backes |