Scouting Report
Todd Marchant holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Penner wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 44.6% vs Marchant 48.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 82.3%
Defensive zone
Marchant 64.4%
Neutral zone
Penner 60.0%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Penner
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Penner
Marchant
Last 6: Penner 2-4 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Penner
Marchant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
3
Penner
Marchant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Penner
1
0
Penner
Marchant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (151)
50.5% (368)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.0% (92)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (59)
42.4% (158)
-6.8%
On power play, Penner has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Penner is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Penner shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Penner
Marchant
Home
47.5% (158)
50.3% (302)
Away
37.8% (148)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Penner
Marchant
P1
38.1%
46.3%
P2
36.2%
49.7%
P3
54.7%
48.1%
OT
27.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
42.8%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Todd Marchant |